Degenerate NCAA Football Bets: Conference Championships
By Jamie Wianecki
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TCU (+240) vs. Oklahoma (-290) (-7/64)
These two teams played only 3 weeks ago when Oklahoma won 38-20 as 6-point favorites at home. Baker Mayfield lit up the TCU defense for 333 yards passing and 3 touchdowns. OU has covered 4 of their last 5 games, while TCU covered only 2 of their last 5. When OU is a touchdown or more favorite not at home, they are 0-3, whereas at home they are 4-2. TCU is going to keep this game close.
I like TCU to cover, OU 32-30.
Georgia (+105) vs. Auburn (-125) (-2/48)
Another rematch from earlier this season. On November 11th Auburn handed Georgia their first and only loss of the season, winning 40-17 at Auburn. Jarrett Stidham played one of his best games on the season throwing for 214 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions. Since losing, Georgia is 2-0 straight up and against the spread. With the exception of the Auburn game, they’ve played really well all season going 8-4 against the spread. I like the revenge factor with big motivation of going to the playoff.
I like Georgia to cover and win, 27-24.
Miami (+300) at Clemson (-380) (-9.5/46.5)
Clemson has been the favorite in all 12 of their games this season and were double-digit favorites in 9 of those 12. They have covered the last three weeks as 12.5, 46 and 16.5 point favorites. Miami has played a lot of close games this season against average to below average teams. They beat UNC by 5, Georgia Tech by 1 and FSU by 4 (on a last second touchdown pass). I would be quite surprised if Miami is able to keep this one close.
I like Clemson 34-10.
Ohio State (-230) at Wisconsin (+195) (+6/51)
The undefeated Wisconsin Badgers are 6-point dogs to the 2-loss Ohio State Buckeyes. Though they didn’t play each other this season, they’ve had 6 common opponents. The one that stands out is Iowa, who beat OSU at home and then lost to UW the following week on the road. It’s hard to say UW isn’t getting recognition for being a good team because they’ve been double-digit favorites in every game except against Michigan, which they covered. Last season these teams faced in Madison with the Badgers as 10-point dogs. OSU won, but didn’t cover and probably should have lost. The last time UW beat OSU was in 2010. Saturday will be the next time they win.
I like Wisconsin to cover and win, 23-16.